USC is an overpriced Pac-12 favorite. The Trojans struggled before pulling away against UNLV, lost to Stanford and Texas, beat Washington State 39-36 but didn’t cover, and barely covered in a 24-20 win over Arizona. What part of that says USC should be favored by a touchdown over Colorado?
The Buffaloes are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread with the only non-cover coming in a 45-14 win over New Hampshire as 37¹/₂-point favorites. Otherwise, oddsmakers have been underestimating this team all season (and clearly overestimating USC).
The play: Colorado +7. I’ll take the big head start as I have this as pick ’em even with USC’s supposed home-field advantage, which hasn’t helped so far this season as the Trojans are 0-2 against the spread at home in those non-covering wins over UNLV and Washington State.